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This Article Full Text Full Text (PDF) All Versions of this Article: AJPH.2006.090431v1 97/9/1545    most recent Submit a response View responses Purchase Article View Shopping Cart Alert me when this article is cited Alert me when eLetters are posted Alert me if a correction is posted Services Similar articles in this journal Similar articles in ISI Web of Science Similar articles in PubMed Alert me to new issues of the journal Download to citation manager Citing Articles Citing Articles via HighWire Citing Articles via Google Scholar Google Scholar Articles by Benatar, D. Search for Related Content PubMed PubMed Citation Articles by Benatar, D. Related Collections Ethics Global Health Prevention

David Benatar, PhD

David Benatar is with the Department of Philosophy, University of Cape Town, Rondebosch, South Africa.

Correspondence: Requests for reprints should be sent to David Benatar, Department of Philosophy, University of Cape Town, Private Bag X3, Rondebosch, 7701, South Africa (e-mail: David.Benatar@uct.ac.za).

	Because this article has no abstract, we have provided an extract of the first 100 words of the full text and any section headings.

As the number of human deaths from avian influenza grows and as the disease spreads geographically, fears of a 21st century influenza epidemic or pandemic mount. Even if the disease does not reach epidemic proportions imminently, the fears are nonetheless well-founded. Inductive reasoning leads to the conclusion that an influenza epidemic will arise, as such epidemics have arisen many times before, including 3 times during the 20th century. The relevant questions, therefore, are when the next one will emerge and how bad it will be.¹

Avian influenza is just one of dozens of zoonotic diseases that have caused and will . . . [Full Text]

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