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RESEARCH AND PRACTICE |
David B. Richardson and Dana Loomis are with the Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill. At the time of the study, James Bena was with the Risk Evaluation Branch, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health, Cincinnati, Ohio. A. John Bailer is with the Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Miami University, Oxford, Ohio, and the Risk Evaluation Branch, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health, Cincinnati.
Correspondence: Requests for reprints should be sent to David Richard-son, Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, CB No. 8050, Bank of America Plaza, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 275998050 (e-mail: david_richardson{at}unc.edu).
| ABSTRACT |
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Objectives. We investigated fatal occupational injury rates in the United States by race and Hispanic ethnicity during the period 19901996.
Methods. Fatalities were identified by means of the national traumatic occupational fatalities surveillance system. Fatal occupational injury rates were calculated by race/ethnicity and region using US-censusbased workforce estimates.
Results. Non-Hispanic Black men in the South had the highest fatal occupational injury rate (8.5 per 100000 worker-years), followed by Hispanic men in the South (7.9 per 100000 worker-years). Fatal injury rates for Hispanic men increased over the study period, exceeding rates for non-Hispanic Black men in the latter years of observation.
Conclusions. These data suggest a change in the demographics of fatal occupational injuries in the United States. Hispanic men in the South appear to be emerging as the group with the nations highest unintentional fatal occupational injury rate.
| INTRODUCTION |
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In recent years, the American South has experienced substantial declines in employment in traditional labor-intensive industries such as agriculture and furniture and textile manufacturing.46 Coincident with these declines has been a demographic shift in employment. Increasingly, manual labor (e.g., hand harvesting of row crops), once done primarily by Black workers, is being done by Hispanic workers.7 This pattern is occurring not only in declining industries but also in labor-intensive industries where employment has been increasing in the South, such as construction and landscaping.
We examined racial/ethnic differences in fatal occupational injury rates in the South and compared these observations to patterns in the rest of the United States. We began by examining fatal occupational injury rates by race/ethnicity in southern and non-southern states. Next, we examined variation over time in fatal injury rates to investigate whether there is evidence of an increase or decrease over time in disparities in fatal injury rates by race/ethnicity and region. Finally, we investigated whether racial/ ethnic differences in fatal injury rates within each region remained after adjusting for differences in the distribution of workers with respect to occupation and industry.
| METHODS |
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A joint race/ethnicity variable was defined with 3 categories: Hispanic, Black, and non-Black. Any worker with an indication of Hispanic ethnicity, regardless of race, was included in the Hispanic category. We used the term Hispanic, rather than an alternative such as Latino, because the source data for these analyses were compiled using this terminology. Non-Hispanic workers of Black race made up the Black category. Non-Hispanic workers of other or unknown race made up the non-Black category, which is composed primarily of decedents of European descent (97%), with small percentages of decedents of Asian (2%), Pacific Islander (< 1%), and Native American descent (< 1%). Information describing the decedents race and ethnic origin is collected by the person completing the demographic portion of the death certificate (typically the funeral director) from next of kin or other informants. The 1989 revision of the US standard certificate of death incorporated a significant change with the inclusion of a specific item on Hispanic ethnicity; a decedent is classified as Hispanic if the certifier enters a positive response to the "was decedent of Hispanic origin?" item.11,12 Almost all registration areas had implemented revised forms by the recommended date of January 1, 1989, with most state certificates closely following the model of the US standard certificate of death.11,12 The analyses reported in this article were conducted as part of a larger project examining fatal occupational injuries in the United States over the period 19801996.13 However, because a separate variable indicating Hispanic ethnicity was not recorded in the NTOF database before 1990, these analyses were restricted to the 7-year period 19901996. Information on Hispanic ethnicity was missing/unknown for a small percentage of decedents (< 1%); these decedents were classified as non-Hispanic.
All eligible deaths in the NTOF system were tabulated by calendar year, gender, race/ ethnicity, occupation, industry, and geographic region of the United States (South vs non-South). The South was defined for these analyses according to the conventional US census regions and includes Texas, Oklahoma, Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi, Alabama, Tennessee, Kentucky, Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia, West Virginia, District of Columbia, Maryland, and Delaware. We estimated the size of the workforce at risk using the 1980 and 1990 census data (the necessary data from the 2000 census were not available at the time this article was written). The work-force sizes for the years 19911996 were estimated by linear extrapolation.
Rates of fatal occupational injury were estimated for each year as the count of injury deaths divided by the estimated number of workers employed in that year, which approximates worker-years at risk. Poisson regression analyses, conducted with SAS PROC GENMOD, were used to estimate trends in fatal occupational injury rates over time, under the model
, where the rate of fatal occupational injury,
, is examined in relation to an indicator of calendar year, denoted year.14,15
The value
describes the estimated fatal in-jury rate in 1990, and the value [100(e
1 1)] describes the estimated annual percentage change in fatal injury rate. Separate regression models were fit to estimate trends in fatal occupational injury rates for subgroups of workers defined by geographic region (South vs non-South) and race/ethnicity. To evaluate whether differences in fatal injury rates by race/ethnicity and region owed to differences in employment structure between groups, we calculated a directly adjusted fatal injury rate using the occupation- and industry-specific number of non-Black workers in non-southern states in 1990 as the standard population. Occupation- and industry-specific fatal injury rates for each race/ethnicity-and region-specific group were weighted by this standard population, producing a rate estimate that is adjusted for employment structure differences by race/ethnicity and region.16 Analyses were conducted separately for men and women, although most of the presented results focus on men because they had more fatalities than women.
| RESULTS |
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Female workers had much lower fatal injury rates than male workers, with minimal evidence of difference in rates between race/ ethnicity groups within each region. In the South, non-Hispanic women (Black and non-Black) had slightly higher fatal injury rates (0.4 per 100 000 worker-years) than His-panic women; in other regions, non-Black female workers had a slightly higher fatal injury rate (0.3 per 100 000 worker-years) than other female workers.
Overall, unintentional fatal occupational injury rates in the United States declined 1.1% per year (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.7, 0.5) during the period 19901996. However, estimates of the annual change in fatal injury rates differed markedly by race/ethnicity and region (Table 2
). For southern workers, Hispanic men had the lowest estimated fatal injury rate in 1990 (as indicated by the model intercept) but were estimated to have a 5.2% increase in fatal injury rates per year. In contrast, fatal occupational injury rates tended to decline over the study period for non-Hispanic men (Black and non-Black) in the South (1.6% per year and 1.3% per year, respectively). Similarly, among non-southern workers, Hispanic men had the lowest estimated fatal injury rate in 1990 (as indicated by the model intercept) but were estimated to have a 6.0% increase per year in fatal injury rates. In contrast, fatal injury rates tended to decline over time for non-Hispanic men (Black and non-Black) in non-southern states (3.1% per year and 1.5% per year, respectively). Given the relatively small numbers of deaths among female workers, estimates of trends in annual fatal injury rates by race/ethnicity and region for women were highly imprecise (results not shown).
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After we adjusted for differences in employment structure, annual fatal occupational injury rates for non-Black male workers in the South were still higher than fatal injury rates for non-Black male workers in non-southern states (available from the authors at: http://www.unc.edu/~davidr/trends). Adjusted fatal injury rates for Black men in the South were slightly higher than fatal injury rates for non-Black men in the South in some, but not all, years. This suggests that the higher fatal injury rates observed for Black workers in the South compared with non-Black workers in the South (Table 1
) is largely explained by differences in employment structure. However, adjusted rates for Black men in the South were consistently higher than rates for non-Black men outside the South, suggesting that fatal occupational injury rates do differ with race and region after adjustment for employment structure. Outside the South, Black men had lower fatal injury rates than non-Black men after adjustment for employment structure. Adjusted fatal occupational injury rates for Hispanic male workers in the South increased in the latter years of study, with rates for this group exceeding rates for all other race/ethnicity and regional groups in the latter years of the study. This relative elevation in fatal occupational injury rates, after adjustment for employment structure, suggests that Hispanic workers in the South had higher fatal injury rates than non-Hispanic workers in comparable occupations and industries. This was not the case outside the South. In non-southern states, Hispanic male workers tended to have lower fatal injury rates than non-Black and Black men after adjustment for employment structure.
Examination of industry-specific trends, although less precise than overall trends, helps describe the direction of trends within major industrial categories. Because of the small number of deaths for some groups when we stratified by race, region, and industry, we focused on trends in major industrial categories in which at least 1 death occurred in each year for each race/ethnicity in each region. Among Hispanic men, trends in fatal injury rates were positive, indicating fatal injury rates that increased with time, for workers employed in every major industry group in southern and non-southern states (Figure 2
). Significant positive trends for Hispanic men were observed in manufacturing and public administration in the South and in construction, transportation, and public administration in non-southern states. Significant negative trends for non-Black men, indicating decreasing fatal injury rates over time, were observed for those employed in construction in the South and for those employed in manufacturing, service, and wholesale industries in non-southern states. Positive trends were observed for Black men employed in construction, transportation, and public administration industries in the South and for Black men employed in manufacturing, transportation, and wholesale industries in non-southern states.
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| DISCUSSION |
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Fatal occupational injury rates for Hispanic men were between rates for non-Hispanic Black and non-Black men (Table 1
). One concern about potential bias in these estimates of fatal occupational injury rates by race/ethnicity and region is the possibility that Hispanics may be more likely to be undercounted than non-Hispanics in official census data. Under-counting of the number of Hispanics in the labor force would lead to positive bias in fatal occupational injury rate estimates for this group of workers (Table 1
). Although this is a clear limitation of official census data, the Census of Population and Housing17 remains the most precise source for US population estimates by geographic region, gender, race, and ethnicity. Furthermore, for the purposes of the analyses reported in this article, we found that the Census of Population and Housing was preferable to smaller surveys (such as the Current Population Survey18) as a source for rate denominator information because of the imprecision of employment estimates derived from smaller surveys when data are cross-classified by gender, race/ethnicity, region, and major occupational and industry groups.
A major focus of these analyses was on trends in fatal injury rates over time. Fatal occupational injury rates in the United States have declined for several decades.13,19 However, we observed that the direction of trends in fatal injury rates differed for Hispanic and non-Hispanic men (Table 2
). Although fatal occupational injury rates tended to decline over the study period for non-Black and Black men, rates did not decline for Hispanic male workers (Figure 1
). These data suggest that Hispanic male workers in the South are emerging as the race/ethnicity group with the highest fatal injury rate. This signals an important shift in the demographics of fatal occupational injuries. Historically in the South, Black men have had the highest fatal injury rates on the job; this study suggests that Hispanic men may be increasingly taking on that role.
Undercounting of Hispanics by official census records does not per se lead to spurious trends in fatal injury rates over time; in order for a spurious positive trend in rates to occur, the degree of undercounting of Hispanics must increase over time. We estimated annual employment levels by linear extrapolation from decennial census data, an approach shown previously to be appropriate for fatal injury trend analyses.20 Furthermore, observations from other investigations of trends in US fatal occupational injury rates among Hispanic men support our conclusions. Using information on fatality counts obtained from the Census of Fatal Occupational Injuries21 and annual rate denominator data derived from annual summaries of the monthly Current Population Survey, the Bureau of Labor Statistics has reported that fatal injury rates for non-Hispanic workers have declined over time, whereas rates for Hispanic workers have not. The Bureau of Labor Statistics has reported that fatal injury rates for Hispanic male workers in the United States have exceeded the fatal injury rates for non-Hispanic workers in recent years.2225 In 2001, for example, Hispanic workers had a higher rate of fatal injury (6.0 per 100 000 worker-years) than non-Hispanic White workers (4.2 per 100 000 worker-years) and Black workers (3.8 per 100 000 worker-years).24,25 In order for undercounting of Hispanic workers to lead to positive bias in these reports of trends in fatal injury rates, one would have to postulate that Current Population Survey data have suffered progressively greater undercounting of Hispanic workers over time.
Possible explanations for why Hispanic ethnicity may be a determinant of fatal injuries include communication barriers on the job and during training; the assignment of more hazardous tasks to Hispanic workers rather than to non-Hispanic workers who ostensibly hold the same job; and failure by employers to invest in safety training, equipment, and protective gear for jobs done by Hispanic workers who may be short-term or illegal employees. Dong and Platner proposed similar explanations for their observation that Hispanic construction workers in the United States were at significantly greater risk of fatal occupational injury during the period 19922000 than their non-Hispanic counterparts.26 Their study, which was based on Census of Fatal Occupational Injuries and Current Population Survey data, found that this pattern was consistent in each year of observation, with minimal variation over calendar time in fatal injury rates for either ethnic group.26 In our study, although fatal occupational injury rates for Hispanic men tended to increase over time (Table 2
), the trend in rates for Hispanic men and non-Hispanic Black men was nonlinear (Figure 1
). Changes over time in employment in high-risk industries, such as construction, could lead to non-linear trends in annual fatal injury rates. For example, new home construction in the United States, as measured by building permits, declined from the late 1980s through 1991 and increased rapidly afterward.27 However, 2 observations argue against the conclusion that the temporal trend in fatal injury rates among Hispanic male workers is a consequence of changes in the proportion of Hispanic workers employed in high-risk industries such as construction. First, adjustment for employment structure had minimal influence on the pattern of fatal injury rates among Hispanic men. Second, trends in fatal injury rates for Hispanic men were positive for a wide range of industries (Figure 2
). One alternative explanation is that a subgroup of Hispanic workers (i.e., seasonal or undocumented Hispanic workers) may be undercounted or may experience poorer working conditions and higher injury rates than long-term documented Hispanic workers. If the employment level for the former group of workers is sensitive to economic trends, then industry-specific fatal injury rates for Hispanic workers may tend to vary over time in relation to demand for (and employment of) seasonal or undocumented Hispanic workers.
We observed that fatal injury rates for southern workers were higher than fatal injury rates for non-southern workers within each category of gender and race/ethnicity (Table 1
). Adjustment for employment structure accounted for most of the difference in rates between non-Black and Black men in the South; however, after we accounted for employment structure, higher rates persisted for southern workers than for non-southern workers (and particularly for Hispanic workers in the South). This suggests the possibility that working conditions faced by southern workers are less safe than those faced by non-southern workers employed in comparable jobs. The observation that fatal occupational injury rates are higher in the South (and, more recently, highest among Hispanic workers in the South), even after adjustment for employment structure, suggests that targeting specific industries with high rates is not enough; within industries, significant racial/ ethnic differences in rates must also be addressed. The findings indicate that greater injury prevention efforts need to be focused on the South (where rates are relatively high) and particularly on Hispanic workers in the South.
| Acknowledgments |
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Human Participant Protection
The institutional review board of the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill approved this project.
| Footnotes |
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Accepted for publication March 17, 2004.
| References |
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