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REVIEWING THE EVIDENCE |
Nino Künzli, Rob McConnell, Tracy Bastain, Andrea Hricko, Ed Avol, Frank Gilliland, and John Peters are with the Department of Preventive Medicine, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles. David Bates is with the Departments of Medicine and Physiology, University of British Columbia, Vancouver. Fred Lurmann is with Sonoma Technology Inc, Petaluma, Calif.
Correspondence: Requests for reprints should be sent to Nino Künzli, MD, PhD, Department of Preventive Medicine, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, 1540 Alcazar St, CHP 236, Los Angeles, CA 90033 (e-mail: kuenzli{at}usc.edu).
| ABSTRACT |
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Population growth and the proliferation of roadways in Southern California have facilitated a glut of mobile air pollution sources (cars and trucks), resulting in substantial atmospheric pollution.
Despite successful efforts over the past 40 years to reduce pollution, an alarming set of health effects attributable to air pollution have been described in Southern California. The Childrens Health Study indicates that reduced lung function growth, increased school absences, asthma exacerbation, and new-onset asthma are occurring at current levels of air pollution, with sizable economic consequences.
We describe these findings and urge a more aggressive effort to reduce air pollution exposures to protect our childrens health. Lessons from this "case study" have national implications.
| INTRODUCTION |
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Truck and automobile emissions are responsible for most of the air pollution in Southern California, with significant additional mobile source contributions from airports and the nations largest marine port complex. In Southern California, episodic outdoor levels of ozone (O3), particulate matter less than 10 microns in diameter (PM10), and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) historically have been among the highest in the United States, and they continue to exceed federal and state clean air guidelines.2,3 Research conducted in the 1970s and 1980s confirmed acute effects of exposure to ozone and other traffic-related pollutants.4,5 However, until recently, long-term health consequences were more uncertain, particularly among children, a population with rapidly growing lungs likely to be sensitive to the effects of air pollution.
| THE CHILDRENS HEALTH STUDY |
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In addition, yearly questionnaires assess the childrens development of respiratory symptoms and their current activity patterns. Furthermore, lung function has been measured each year via spirometry.11 School absences have been monitored to allow evaluation of the effects of pollution on acute respiratory illnesses.12
As a means of characterizing air quality in each of the 12 study communities, ambient concentrations of O3, PM2.5 (particulate matter less than 2.5 microns in diameter), PM10, NO2, and acid vapors have been measured at central monitoring stations (Table 1
). Particle composition has been further characterized according to ion, elemental carbon, and organic carbon mass and sources of particulate pollution.13 New microenvironmental models were developed to assess within-community variability in childrens exposure based on respondent-reported housing characteristicssuch as the use of air-conditioningas well as on patterns of time spent outside and physical activity patterns that might modify ambient exposures and individual doses.9,14
| MAIN FINDINGS |
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School absence rates increased with daily fluctuations in O3 levels, particularly when levels rose in communities with low concentrations of PM10 and NO2.12 A modest increase of 20 parts per billion in 8-hour average ozone was associated with an 83% increase in school absences resulting from acute respiratory illnesses. Children with asthma experienced more bronchitis and persistent phlegm production if they lived in communities with more NO2 or particulate pollution.19 This finding accords with results from the Harvard Six Cities Study.20 Given the fact that people with asthma have more bouts of bronchitis than those without asthma, even a modest increased risk in bronchitis rates due to air pollution may result in a considerable burden in terms of increased asthma symptoms in children.13
Children who played team sports and spent more time outside in communities with high ozone levels had a higher incidence of newly diagnosed asthma.21 In communities with low ozone levels, playing team sports was not associated with an increased risk of asthma. Because exercising children exhibit increased rates of ventilation, playing team sports increases doses of ozone and other lung pollutants. This finding is noteworthy, because it was previously believed that air pollution exacerbated asthma among children who already have the disease rather than causing new-onset asthma. A recent Dutch cohort study of newborn children also revealed increased asthma incidence rates among children living in more polluted communities.22
| FUTURE RESEARCH STRATEGIES |
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Limitations of the CHS are discussed in the articles listed in Table 2
. A major limitation involved the exposure assignment of community-based mean values; long-term average exposures to nitrogen oxides, acids, and particulate matter were highly correlated across the 12 CHS communities. New statistical methods and exposure models under development may help to disentangle these co-pollutant effects (K. Berhane, D. O. Stram, W.J. Gauderman, and D. C. Thomas, unpublished data, 2003) and to determine whether sourcespecific exposures (e.g., exposures to traffic, refineries, power plants, port activities, diesel trains, construction equipment, and wood smoke) are also important.24,25 Pollutants that were of little concern at the time the CHS began have now been identified as important respiratory hazards and could be incorporated into future exposure assignment approaches (e.g., polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons associated with particles from diesel exhaust26 and ultrafine particles [less than 0.1 micron in aerodynamic diameter]).27
The association between ozone exposures among children playing team sports and new-onset asthma requires further study. Because asthma prevalence rates vary widely between communities for reasons that are not well understood,28 examining within-community variability in air pollution may be an important strategy for clarifying the effects of air pollution on asthma. Preliminary results from the CHS suggest that residential proximity to traffic is associated with asthma prevalence rates.29
In 2002, the CHS began recruitment of a new cohort of 6000 children aged 5 to 7 years, and this cohort provides an opportunity to evaluate the laboratory observation that co-exposure to ozone or to particulate matter in diesel exhaust enhances the effect of allergens in producing asthma and allergies in animal models.30,31 Improved techniques for modeling lung function, developed for the CHS, have demonstrated reduced lung function in asthmatic children, even before diagnosis,32 and these methods are now being applied in an examination of the joint effects of air pollution and asthma on lung function and lung function growth at different ages (K. Berhane, D. O. Stram, W. J. Gauderman, and D. C. Thomas, unpublished data, 2003).
The evidence emerging from the CHS supports the hypothesis that genetics and diet are important for respiratory health, and the hypothesis that they may modify the effect of oxidant pollutants is under active investigation.33,34 The observed interaction in the CHS between in utero tobacco smoke exposure and asthma prevalence and lung function is a model for similar interactions that might occur with air pollution.35,36 The effect of in utero tobacco smoke exposure on asthma risk was observed primarily in children with a null genotype for glutathione S-transferase M1; (the null genotype results in a lack of this antioxidant enzyme).37 Observed protective relationships of lung function with dietary magnesium and potassium38 and with vitamin C39 suggest potential avenues for primary prevention.40
| REGULATORY IMPLICATIONS |
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We distinguish 2 approaches to reducing exposure to air pollution. "Primary strategies" that reduce ambient concentrations of air pollutants must be the main focus of regulatory action, and "secondary strategies" that reduce childrens exposure to air pollution without improving ambient air quality may have a complementary and temporary role (Table 3
). Given traffics dominant role in Southern California, and the fact that the CHS revealed respiratory health effects associated with a number of traffic-related pollutants, we have chosen to focus on traffic-related emissions. Mobile sources are generally the dominant national contributor to ambient urban air pollution.43,44
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| PRIMARY STRATEGIES: CUTTING EMISSIONS |
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Compelling evidence from the CHS that lung function is impaired by air pollution is directly relevant to the current debate over the regulation of particulate pollutants. In addition, the emerging evidence that air pollution is a factor in the development of asthma is relevant to the new federal ozone standards under consideration. Nearly 70 million Americans live in areas that exceed existing ozone standards, nearly 10 million live in areas exceeding NO2 standards, and more than 20 million live in areas exceeding standards set for PM10.4 Clearly, complying with current air quality standards would benefit childrens health, and the new evidence strongly endorses the strategy of the California Environmental Protection Agency, which recently set stricter standards (Table 1
).13
Examples of interventions that would reduce pollution and help achieve compliance with air quality standards are presented in Table 3
. A more extensive review of relevant vehicle technology, urban design, and behavioral changes is available elsewhere.47 Better engine technology has dramatically reduced emissions, and new policies continue to promote this trend46,48; new fuel-efficient automobiles currently on the market travel 40 to 50 miles per gallon and have very low emissions, but the average new car sold in the United States is only half as efficient.49 In 1999, fuel economy levels in the United States reached their lowest value in 15 years, a trend in large part due to an increase in sales of sport utility vehicles.50 In 2002, automakers pushed Congress to reject any substantial legislated increase in fuel economy standards.51 Without this regulatory pressure, there is little incentive for companies to promote more fuel-efficient cars.
There is an urgent need for incentives that lead to faster implementation of the "best available technology." However, this goal is hampered by stalled or failed regulatory policy. Delays due to prolonged legal challenges to new air quality standards, long phase-in periods for cleaner diesel engines, and exemptions and delays in holding sport utility vehicles and other larger vehicles (e.g., trucks, ships, school buses) to the same standards as smaller cars create disincentives in regard to the overall reduction of air pollution.
No single policy tool is likely to be sufficient to achieve marked reductions in air pollution. A long-term, integrated set of policies to rebuild communities to make them less dependent on fossil fuels for transportation would yield benefits that go far beyond improved health. For example, policies that promote the rapid development and implementation of very low or zero-emission vehicles, combined with strong incentives such as emission-related taxes, road tolls, and fuel prices that would cover all direct and indirect costs of traffic (including costs related to health damage), could strongly influence consumer choice.52,53 Such a strategy would improve childrens respiratory health, mitigate the long-term threats posed by greenhouse gas emissions from mobile sources, and reduce the current heavy dependence on foreign oil.8,5456
Prioritizing policies that lead to zero emission vehicle fleets would also avoid the trade-offs between health and the environment inherent in the promotion of diesel automobiles as a solution to the problem of greenhouse gas production.57 In fact, diesel cars are associated with very little savings of energy or reduction in carbon dioxide levels,53 and they are associated with much higher emission levels of unhealthy particulates.
The World Health Organization58 has also proposed integrated regulatory approaches. For example, programs promoting bicycling and walking as transportation options for children59,60 could (1) decrease automobile emissions; (2) reduce the time that children spend in cars, where rates of exposure to certain pollutants and toxic compounds are up to 10 times higher than outdoors61; and (3) promote healthy physical activity in the current generation of increasingly sedentary and obese children.62
| SECONDARY STRATEGIES: REDUCING EXPOSURE, NOT EMISSIONS |
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| TENSIONS BETWEEN DIFFERENT REDUCTION STRATEGIES |
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Air-conditioning in schools would increase energy consumption and emissions from power plants. Furthermore, air-conditioning may contribute to other health problems, such as sick building syndrome.68 Although promotion of dietary antioxidant supplements such as vitamin C or E may be a promising intervention, there is some evidence that vitamin C may act as a pro-oxidant,69 and further evaluation of such an intervention is required before programs could be implemented.
Finally, peoples individual decisions to move to more distant, seemingly less polluted suburban areas may result in overall increased levels of emissions if commuting time increases.70 In the long term, secondary strategies will fail to protect the publics health unless they are complementary to emission reduction strategies.8,13,52
| CONCLUSIONS |
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| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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Accepted for publication April 18, 2003.
| References |
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