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RESEARCH AND PRACTICE |
Hee-Soon Juon and Margaret E. Ensminger are with the Department of Health Policy and Management, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Md. Michael Feehan is with Marketing and Planning Systems, Inc, in Waltham, Mass.
Correspondence: Correspondence and requests for reprints should be sent to Hee-Soon Juon, Department of Health Policy and Management, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, 624 N. Broadway, Baltimore, MD 21205 (e-mail: hjuon{at}jhsph.edu).
| INTRODUCTION |
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| METHODS |
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Mortality
Information on death was obtained from family members and neighbors. We submitted these names and the names of all those we could not locate to the National Death Index (NDI); the 19791993 records were searched (NDI records begin with 1979). For positive matches we then obtained death certificates from the state, noting cause of death.
Family and Childhood Adversity
Family and childhood adversity was assessed by family type, frequency of residential moves (02 or
3), living in a welfare family (yes or no), and frequency of corporal punishment as a child (infrequent, measured as never to once a week, or frequent, measured as a few times a week or almost every day). Four family types were defined by the adults who were present in the household.10 In these analyses we examined the 4 types: mother and second adult (including fathers, grandmothers, etc.), mother alone, mother absent with a family member as caregiver, and foster family.
Childrens Behavior and Psychological Symptoms
First-grade teachers rated the childrens behavior on scales indicating aggressive and shy behavior. A 4-point measure ranging from shy to aggressive was used: neither shy nor aggressive; shy only; aggressive only; and both shy and aggressive.10,11 Psychological symptoms were measured by the 38-item Mothers Symptom Inventory (MSI), adapted from an instrument developed by Connors.7,12 The continuous measure of the MSI was used.
| RESULTS |
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Childhood Predictors of Later Mortality. Risks of mortality for 1091 participants, as indicated by multivariate logistic regression analyses, are shown in Table 2
. After adjusting for other variables, being in foster care (odds ratio = 16.87) and being in a single-mother family (OR = 1.82, P < .10) were significantly associated with mortality. Males had a higher risk of mortality than females (OR = 2.62). In the analyses that included all participants of unknown status as alive (n = 1242), the estimates of odds ratios were similar (results not shown).
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| DISCUSSION |
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These analyses highlight the considerable risk of early death (aged 32y or younger) to persons who have been in foster care. Although the number of children in foster care was small in absolute terms (23, or 1.9%) the odds of dying for this subgroup were greater by a factor of 16. Although the odds ratio for having been raised in a single-mother home was not as high and was only marginally significant, about half of the deaths in this cohort (n = 22) occurred among participants who had been raised in single-mother homes. Therefore, the relative risk for this subgroup is higher than for any other.
These findings raise the question whether foster care is responsible for or plays a causal role in those deaths or whether being in foster care reflects adverse situations in the family of origin. Probably both factors play a part. Although the number of foster families was too small for further subanalyses, a few observations of these families indicated difficulties. First, for children living in foster care in first grade, none of the biological mothers was reported as deceased. Therefore the reason for foster placement was something other than the death of the mother. Second, children were frequently switched from one foster family to another. This instability in placement may leave a child very vulnerable to developmental difficulties and less likely to form stable family bonds.
Studies of the protective and risk factors are difficult, given the need for longitudinal-perspective studies and the relatively small number of foster children present in any 1 community. Our studys results are based on relatively small numbers, and we cannot adequately study the reasons for mortality. Larger-scale studies at the state and national levels are needed. Further research is critical, because foster children represent a subgroup that is easily identifiable, and policies for foster care could be designed that might decrease the risk.
| Acknowledgments |
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Human Participant Protection
This work was approved by the Committee on human research of Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. All adolescent and adults participants consented to be interviewed. In 19661967 when the data were initially collected, there were no formal guidelines for the collection of survey data from study participants.
| Footnotes |
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| References |
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2. Ensminger ME, Anthony JC, McCord J. The inner city and drug use: initial findings from an epidemiological study. Drug Alcohol Depend. 1997;48:175184.[ISI][Medline]
3. Ensminger ME, Lamkin RP, Jacobson N. School leaving: a longitudinal perspective including neighborhood effects. Child Dev. 1996;67:24002416.[ISI][Medline]
4. Ensminger ME, Slusarcick AL. Pathways to high school graduation or dropout: a longitudinal study of a first grade cohort. Sociol Educ. 1992;65:95113.[ISI]
5. Feehan M, McGee R, Williams SM, Nada-Raja S. Models of adolescent psychopathology: childhood risk and the transition to adulthood. J Am Acad Child Adolesc Psychiatry. 1995;34:670679.[ISI][Medline]
6. Fergusson DM, Horwood LJ, Lynskey MT. The childhoods of multiple problem adolescents: a 15 year longitudinal study. J Child Psychol Psychiatry. 1994;35:11231140.[ISI][Medline]
7. Juon HS, Ensminger ME. Childhood, adolescent and young adult predictors of suicidal behaviors: a prospective study of African Americans. J Child Psychol Psychiatry. 1997;38:553563.[ISI][Medline]
8. Schwartz JE, Friedman HS, Tucker JS, Tomlinson-Keasey C, Wingard DL, Criqui MH. Sociodemographic and psychosocial factors in childhood as predictors of adult mortality. Am J Public Health. 1995;85:12371245.
9. Kellam SG, Ensminger ME, Simon MB. Mental health in first grade and teenage drug, alcohol, and cigarette use. Drug Alcohol Depend. 1980;5:273304.[ISI][Medline]
10. Kellam SG, Ensminger ME, Turner RJ. Family structure and the mental health of children: concurrent and longitudinal community-wide studies. Arch Gen Psychiatry. 1977; 34:10121022.[Abstract]
11. Ensminger ME. Sexual activity and problem behaviors among black, urban adolescents. Child Dev. 1990;61:20322046.[ISI][Medline]
12. Conners C. The syndrome of minimal brain dysfunction: psychological aspects. Pediatr Clin North Am. 1967;14:749766.[ISI][Medline]
13. Magder LS, Hughes JP. Logistic regression when the outcome is measured with uncertainty. Am J Epidemiol. 1997;146:195203.
14. Gould MS, Shaffer D, Davies M. Truncated pathways from childhood to adulthood: attrition in follow-up studies due to death. In: Robins LN and Rutter M, eds. Straight and Devious Pathways from Childhood to Adult Life. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press; 1990:39.
15. McCord C, Freeman HP. Excess mortality in Harlem. N Engl J Med. 1990;322:173177.[Abstract]
16. Health, United States, 1986. Hyattsville, Md: National Center for Health Statistics, December 1986. DHHS Pub. No. (PHS) 871232.
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