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RESEARCH AND PRACTICE |
Jeffrey B. Gould is with the School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley. Gilberto Chavez is with the Maternal and Child Health Branch, California Department of Health Services. Amy R. Marks is, and at the time of the study Hao Liu was, with the School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley.
Correspondence: Requests for reprints should be sent to Jeffrey B. Gould, MD, MPH, University of California, School of Public Health, 309 Earl Warren Hall, #7360, Berkeley, CA 94720-7360 (e-mail: jgould{at}uclink4.berkeley.edu).
| ABSTRACT |
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Objectives. This study assessed the relationship between incomplete birth certificates and infant mortality.
Methods. Birth certificates from California (n = 538 945) were assessed in regard to underreporting of 13 predictors of perinatal outcomes and mortality.
Results. Of the birth certificates studied, 7.25% were incomplete. Underreporting was most common in the case of women at high risk for poor perinatal outcomes and infants dying within the first day. Increasing numbers of unreported items were shown to be associated with corresponding increases in neonatal and postneonatal mortality rates.
Conclusions. Incomplete birth certificates provide an important marker for identifying high-risk women and vulnerable infants. Because data "cleaning" will result in the removal of mothers and infants at highest risk, birth certificate analyses should include incomplete records.
| INTRODUCTION |
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| METHODS |
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Gestational age, sex, plurality, method of delivery, payer source, month of prenatal care initiation, and number of prenatal visits were selected for analysis, as were maternal race/ethnicity, natality, age, education, and parity. A data item was considered unreported if its field was empty or involved an official missing notation. Relationships between underreporting and both neonatal mortality (number of deaths in the first 28 days of life per 1000 live-born study infants) and postneonatal mortality (deaths from 28 days until 1 year of life per 1000 infants who survived to 28 days of life) were evaluated.
A logistic model that considered birthweight, method of delivery, plurality, sex, gestational age, month of prenatal care initiation, delivery payer, and maternal race/ethnicity, natality, age, education, and parity was constructed to estimate the independent associations between underreporting of specific variables and neonatal mortality. In addition to traditional risk categories,16 unreported categories were also included. SAS (version 8.0) was used in conducting analyses.
| RESULTS |
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Table 1
demonstrates that the higher a subpopulation' risk for poor perinatal outcomes, the greater the likelihood of underreporting on its birth certificates. In comparison with non-Hispanic Whites, underreporting rates were lower among the Chinese, Korean, and Japanese subpopulations and higher among the African American and Southeast Asian subpopulations. Underreporting rates showed significant increases in the case of mothers who were Hispanic, mothers not born in the United States, teenaged mothers, mothers older than 40 years, and mothers who had less than a high school education.
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In clinical settings, there is often the impression that the sicker an infant and the more likely an infant is to die, the greater the likelihood of the presence of underreporting on a variety of documents (J. B. Gould, unpublished data, March 2000). Analysis of 2 crude proxies for perceived morbidityrisk of death, birthweight and age at death, confirmed this impression. There was an almost 3-fold increase in underreporting rates among infants with birthweights of 500 to 599 g relative to infants with birthweights of 2500 g or higher. Rates of underreporting were 25.2% for infants dying in the first 12 hours of life and 23.6% for infants dying in the second 12 hours of life; there was a dramatic decrease to 13.7% (P < .01) for infants who died during the remainder of the first week.
The great majority of the 39 090 incomplete birth certificates involved only 1 (76.0%) or 2 (87.7%) unreported variables. However, there was a striking relationship between number of unreported variables and both neonatal and postneonatal mortality (Table 2
). In the 92.7% of birth certificates without missing data, the neonatal and postneonatal mortality rates were 2.49 and 1.83 per 1000. When only 1 variable was missing, the neonatal mortality rate almost doubled (to 5.35), and the postneonatal mortality rate increased by 42% (to 2.60). The corresponding rates for birth certificates with 6 or more missing items were 229.7 and 46.8 per 1000 live births and 28-day survivors.
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| DISCUSSION |
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From a research perspective, it is important to use an analytic strategy that allows inclusion of birth certificates with missing data items. A "clean" data set would remove many of the records of those at highest risk for poor outcomes as well as many of the pregnancies resulting in infant death. While it may be possible to impute missing values, the methods must account for the marked elevations in mortality associated with missing data.
Birth certificate registration protocols vary across states and hospitals. Frequently, certificates are submitted in paper and electronic formats that allow missing data fields. Although the specific mechanisms that lead to incomplete birth certificates were not addressed in this study, it is important that we begin to understand and to correct the personal and institutional factors that create the poorest quality records for mothers who are at highest risk.
| Acknowledgments |
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We thank Connie Gee for her help in preparing the manuscript.
| Footnotes |
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Accepted for publication January 11, 2001.
| References |
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