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RESEARCH AND PRACTICE |
Alfredo Morabia, Michael C. Costanza, and Martine S. Bernstein are with the Division of Clinical Epidemiology, Geneva University Hospital, Geneva, Switzerland. Jean-Charles Rielle is with the Centre d'information prévention tabagisme (Centre for Information on Smoking Prevention), Geneva, Switzerland.
Correspondence: Requests for reprints should be sent to Alfredo Morabia, MD, PhD, Division of Clinical Epidemiology, Geneva University Hospital, 25 rue Micheli-du-Crest, CH-1211 Geneva 14, Switzerland (e-mail: morabia-alfredo{at}diogenes.hcuge.ch).
| ABSTRACT |
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Objectives. This study sought to determine whether the age at initiation of regular cigarette smoking and the likelihood of quitting smoking through age 35 differ among women from younger versus older generations.
Methods. Annual population-based, random surveys (total of 3676 female residents of Geneva, Switzerland, aged 3574 years) were conducted from 1992 to 1998.
Results. Women younger than 55 years were more likely to be past or current smokers, began smoking earlier (median age < 20 years), and smoked more cigarettes per day than older women, yet attempted to quit smoking more often before age 35 (log-rank P < .001).
Conclusions. Young female smokers have a higher propensity to quit smoking compared with older women. Encouraging young smokers to quitin addition to preventing nonsmokers from startingmay be an important facet of reducing cigarette smoking prevalence among adolescents.
| INTRODUCTION |
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Therefore, it is important to examine whether an increased frequency of smoking cessation attempts by young people could be considered an additional indicator of the success of public health strategies designed to prevent cigarette smoking. With this perspective, we sought to determine the distribution, in a representative sample of the Geneva population, of first attempts to quit smoking among women 35 years or younger who had smoked at least 100 cigarettes and who initiated smoking at 25 years or younger. We collected more detailed information on cigarette smoking history than is usually available in large population-based surveys or cohort studies.
| METHODS |
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Cigarette Smoking History
During the in-person interview, each study participant was first classified as a "never" smoker (having never smoked or smoked fewer than 100 cigarettes in her lifetime; n = 2204) or as an "ever" smoker (having smoked at least 100 cigarettes in her lifetime; n = 1652). The smoking history section of the questionnaire was structured as a calendar. Initial entries were age (in years) and age at which the subject became a regular smoker. Each change, if any, in the reported daily smoking frequency or type of cigarette smoked was reported as a new entry. For each entry, the daily number of cigarettes smoked was recorded. The duration of each quitting episode of at least 1 year also was recorded.
A "past" smoker was defined as an ever smoker who had quit smoking 2 or more years before her interview (n = 784). A 2-year cutoff was used because the calendar recorded years, not months, at initiation and at cessation. Thus, a 1-year difference could have ranged from 1 month (e.g., started December 1992, stopped January 1993) to 23 months (e.g., started January 1993, stopped December 1994). Similarly, a "current" smoker was defined as an ever smoker who was still smoking less than 2 years before her interview (n = 868).
Similarly, for past and current smokers a quit attempt was defined as 2 or more years of smoking cessation. Up to 4 such quit attempts could be determined with the cigarette smoking history calendar. Thus, past smokers could be further classified as having made 1 to 4 quit attempts, the last of which was the "final" quit; current smokers could be further classified as having made 0 to 3 quit attempts.
Statistical Analyses
We used
2 tests for homogeneity of proportions to compare the distributions of smokers in 4 age groups (3544 years, 4554 years, 5564 years, 6574 years). KaplanMeier (product-limit) survival (or "time-to-event") analysis techniques6 were used to estimate the cumulative probability distributions of age ("time") at smoking initiation or at first quit attempt ("event") efficiently. Analysis of age at first quit attempt was limited to young initiatorsdefined as being 25 years or younger at smoking initiationand corresponded to the 88th percentile (1449/1652) of the distribution for ever smokers.
In the absence of direct reliability checks for assessing whether the information on age at smoking initiation and at quit attempts was reproducible, we applied an indirect method proposed by Gilpin et al.7 The method consisted of comparing the distributions of age at smoking initiation and at quitting among women from a single birth cohort (19401949) in each of the 7 surveys (1992 to 1998).
| RESULTS |
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We also performed reliability checks on whether recall of age at initiation of smoking or age at first quit attempt could have been influenced by the age of the women in the study. The time-to-event analysis estimates of these probability distributions for each survey year from 1992 to 1998 for the cohort of women born between 1940 and 1949 were almost superimposed. This result suggests that recall of age at smoking initiation was reliable among women of the same cohort who were interviewed at different ages.
| DISCUSSION |
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Our findings are consistent with those for 91 651 married female US nurses aged 30 to 55 years in 1976, among whom the cessation rate was lowest in earlier birth cohorts9although Myers et al. focused on final cessation, whereas we studied primarily first attempt to quit.
In contrast with other researchers,3,10,11 we did not observe that young initiators tend to be more addicted. Women who initiated smoking at an earlier age did not attempt to quit a first time after a longer duration of smoking or attempt to quit less often than women who initiated smoking at a later age. We may have failed to find a relationship between age at smoking initiation and probability of first attempting to quit because, as noted above, Geneva women rarely (<5%) reported initiating smoking at a very young agethat is, before 15 years.
A strength of the study was a clearly defined and enumerated target population, allowing us to confirm the representativeness of the sample relative to the agesexnationality distribution in the population. We also were able to rule out a possible selection bias related to crude smoking categories by obtaining the smoking status of subjects who refused to participate.12 Detailed smoking histories were obtained by trained interviewers from a representative sample of the general population of the Canton of Geneva. Because older women in the study had had more time to attempt to quit than younger study women, we also restricted the comparisons to events that occurred only through 35 years of age; all study subjects were at least that age. It also was reassuring to observe, in agreement with previous reports,7,13,14 the lack of substantial differential reliability of recall of age at initiation among women of the same cohort interviewed as much as 7 years apart.
The study was limited by the fact that the youngest women in the study were aged 35 years at interview. We therefore do not have information on the most recent trends in cigarette smoking in younger adults.
We can speculate about the reasons for the increasing propensity to quit by younger women. Quitting may be more successful in the younger group because of the availability of new tools for quitting, such as nicotine gum and patches. Younger generations may be more aware of the health risks of smoking. The older cohorts may have tried just as oftenquitting for 3 weeks, 3 months, 1 yearwithout following through. In any case, this observed phenomenon may have major implications for prevention. Current antismoking efforts should seek to prevent teenagers from initiating smoking, encourage current smokers to quit, and help quitters maintain their smoking cessation.
| Footnotes |
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Accepted for publication December 13, 2000.
| References |
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2.
Borras JM, Fernandez E, Schiaffino A, Borrell C, La Vecchia C. Pattern of smoking initiation in Catalonia, Spain, from 1948 to 1992. Am J Public Health.2000;90:14591462.
3.
Breslau N, Peterson EL. Smoking cessation in young adults: age at initiation of cigarette smoking and other suspected influences. Am J Public Health. 1996;86:214220.
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Pierce JP, Gilpin E. How long will today' new adolescent smoker be addicted to cigarettes? Am J Public Health. 1996;86:253256.
5. Morabia A, Bernstein M, Heritier S, Ylli A. Community-based surveillance of cardiovascular risk factors in Geneva: methods, resulting distributions, and comparisons with other populations. Prev Med. 1997;26:311319.[Medline]
6. Kalbfleisch JD, Prentice RL. The Analysis of Failure Time Data. New York, NY: John Wiley and Sons Inc; 1980.
7.
Gilpin EA, Lee L, Evans N, Pierce JP. Smoking initiation rates in adults and minors: United States, 19441988. Am J Epidemiol. 1994;140:535543.
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Myers AH, Rosner B, Abbey H, et al. Smoking behavior among participants in the Nurses' Health Study. Am J Public Health. 1987;77:628630.
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Morabia A, Bernstein M, Heritier S, Khatchatrian N. Relation of breast cancer with passive and active exposure to tobacco smoke [see comments]. Am J Epidemiol. 1996;143:918928.
13. Klesges RC, Debon M, Ray JW. Are self-reports of smoking rate biased? Evidence from the Second National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. J Clin Epidemiol. 1995;48:12251233.[Medline]
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Hatziandreu EJ, Pierce JP, Fiore MC, Grise V, Novotny TE, Davis RM. The reliability of self-reported cigarette consumption in the United States. Am J Public Health. 1989;79:10201023.
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