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AJPH First Look, published online ahead of print Jun 28, 2007
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97/8/1470    most recent
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August 2007, Vol 97, No. 8 | American Journal of Public Health 1470-1475
© 2007 American Public Health Association
DOI: 10.2105/AJPH.2006.101386


RESEARCH AND PRACTICE

Prospective Predictors of Long-Term Abstinence Versus Relapse Among Smokers Who Quit as Young Adults

Jonathan T. Macy, MPH, Dong-Chul Seo, PhD, Laurie Chassin, PhD, Clark C. Presson, PhD and Steven J. Sherman, PhD

Jonathan T. Macy and Steven J. Sherman are with the Department of Psychological and Brain Sciences, Indiana University, Bloomington. Dong-Chul Seo is with the Department of Applied Health Science, Indiana University, Bloomington. Laurie Chassin and Clark C. Presson are with the Department of Psychology, Arizona State University, Tempe.

Correspondence: Requests for reprints should be sent to Jonathan T. Macy, Department of Psychological and Brain Sciences, Indiana University, 1101 E 10th St, Bloomington, IN 47405 (email: jtmacy{at}indiana.edu).

Objectives. We sought to identify prospective predictors of long-term abstinence versus relapse among individuals who quit smoking as young adults.

Methods. Participants from an ongoing longitudinal study of smoking who had quit for at least 1 year between the ages of 18 and 24 years (n=327) were divided into those who later reported not smoking for more than 5 years (long-term abstinence) or reported current smoking, defined as smoking at least monthly (relapse). Logistic regression was used to examine odds ratios (ORs) of prospective predictors of long-term abstinence versus relapse.

Results. Overall, 67% of participants maintained long-term abstinence and 33% relapsed. The strongest predictor of avoiding relapse was marrying a nonsmoker (adjusted OR [AOR]=0.07; 95% confidence interval [CI]=0.03, 0.21). Other predictors included making 1 lifetime quit attempt (AOR=0.13; 95% CI=0.04, 0.44), having as a young adult only 1 parent who smoked (AOR=0.23; 95% CI=0.06, 0.93), and working in a completely smoke-free building (AOR=0.13; 95% CI=0.03, 0.58).

Conclusions. The factors related to smoking in the social environment played the largest role in predicting long-term abstinence versus relapse.




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C. G. Husten
Smoking Cessation in Young Adults
Am J Public Health, August 1, 2007; 97(8): 1354 - 1356.
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