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August 2001, Vol 91, No. 8 | American Journal of Public Health 1258-1263
© 2001 American Public Health Association


RESEARCH

Heart Rate as a Predictor of Mortality: The MATISS Project

Fulvia Seccareccia, MSc, Fabio Pannozzo, MD, Francesco Dima, Anna Minoprio, MSc, Antonio Menditto, MD, Cinzia Lo Noce and Simona Giampaoli, MD

Fulvia Seccareccia, Francesco Dima, Cinzia Lo Noce, and Simona Giampaoli are with the Laboratory of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, Rome, Italy. Fabio Pannozzo is with Health Unit LT4, Latina, Italy. Anna Minoprio and Antonio Menditto are with the Laboratory of Clinical Biochemistry, Istituto Superiore di Sanità.

Correspondence: Requests for reprints should be sent to Fulvia Seccareccia, MSc, Laboratory of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, Viale Regina Elena, 299, I-00161 Rome, Italy (e-mail: fulvias{at}iss.it).

Objectives. This study sought to verify the independent role of heart rate in the prediction of all-cause, cardiovascular, and noncardiovascular mortality in a low-risk male population.

Methods. In an Italian population-based observational study, heart rate was measured in 2533 men, aged 40 to 69 years, between 1984 and 1993. Data on cardiovascular risk factors were collected according to standardized procedures. Vital status was updated to December 1997.

Results. Of 2533 men followed up (representing 24 457 person-years), 393 men died. Age-adjusted death rates for 5 heart rate levels showed increasing trends. The adjusted hazard rate ratios for each heart rate increment were 1.52 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.29, 1.78) for all-cause mortality, 1.63 (95% CI = 1.26, 2.10) for cardiovascular mortality, and 1.47 (95% CI = 1.19, 1.80) for noncardiovascular mortality. Relative risks between extreme levels were more than 2-fold for all endpoints considered.

Conclusions. Heart rate is an independent predictor of cardiovascular, noncardiovascular, and total mortality in this Italian middle-aged male population.




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