HOME HELP FEEDBACK SUBSCRIPTIONS ARCHIVE SEARCH TABLE OF CONTENTS		QUICK SEARCH:   [advanced] Author: Keyword(s): Year:  Vol:  Page:

This Article Full Text (PDF) Submit a response Purchase Article View Shopping Cart Alert me when this article is cited Alert me when eLetters are posted Alert me if a correction is posted Services Similar articles in this journal Similar articles in PubMed Alert me to new issues of the journal Download to citation manager Citing Articles Citing Articles via HighWire Citing Articles via Google Scholar Google Scholar Articles by Pierce, J P Articles by Gilpin, E Search for Related Content PubMed PubMed Citation Articles by Pierce, J P Articles by Gilpin, E

How long will today's new adolescent smoker be addicted to cigarettes?

J P Pierce and E Gilpin

Cancer Prevention and Control Program, University of California-San Diego Cancer Center, La Jolla 92093-0901, USA.

This study estimated the expected smoking duration for young smokers who have started recently. Data from National Health Interview Surveys were combined to model the ages at which smoking prevalence will decline to various percentages of the peak smoking prevalence for each successive birth cohort. Smoking-cessation ages were then estimated for the males and females born from 1975 through 1979. The median cessation age for those in this cohort who start smoking as adolescents is expected to be 33 years for males and 37 years for females. Thus, 50% of these adolescent males may smoke for at least 16 years and 50% of these adolescent females may smoke for at least 20 years, based on a median age of initiation of 16 to 17 years. Despite the decline in the median age of US smokers who quit, these data predict that smoking will be a long-term addiction for many adolescents who start now.

This article has been cited by other articles:

				D. B. Buller, R. Borland, W. G. Woodall, J. R. Hall, J. M. Hines, P. Burris-Woodall, G. R. Cutter, C. Miller, J. Balmford, R. Starling, et al. Randomized Trials on Consider This, a Tailored, Internet-Delivered Smoking Prevention Program for Adolescents Health Educ Behav, April 1, 2008; 35(2): 260 - 281. [Abstract] [PDF]

				S. E. Gilman, J. Breslau, S.V. Subramanian, B. Hitsman, and K. C. Koenen Social Factors, Psychopathology, and Maternal Smoking During Pregnancy Am J Public Health, March 1, 2008; 98(3): 448 - 453. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

				C. Bancej, J. O'Loughlin, R. W Platt, G. Paradis, and A. Gervais Smoking cessation attempts among adolescent smokers: a systematic review of prevalence studies Tob. Control, December 1, 2007; 16(6): e8 - e8. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

				S. J. Slater, F. J. Chaloupka, M. Wakefield, L. D. Johnston, and P. M. O'Malley The Impact of Retail Cigarette Marketing Practices on Youth Smoking Uptake Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med, May 1, 2007; 161(5): 440 - 445. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

				R. J. Wellman, D. B. Sugarman, J. R. DiFranza, and J. P. Winickoff The Extent to Which Tobacco Marketing and Tobacco Use in Films Contribute to Children's Use of Tobacco: A Meta-analysis Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med, December 1, 2006; 160(12): 1285 - 1296. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

				A. Gervais, J. O'Loughlin, G. Meshefedjian, C. Bancej, and M. Tremblay Milestones in the natural course of onset of cigarette use among adolescents. Can. Med. Assoc. J., August 1, 2006; 175(3): 255 - 261. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

				J. R. DiFranza, R. J. Wellman, J. D. Sargent, M. Weitzman, B. J. Hipple, J. P. Winickoff, and for the Tobacco Consortium, Center for Child Healt Tobacco promotion and the initiation of tobacco use: assessing the evidence for causality. Pediatrics, June 1, 2006; 117(6): e1237 - e1248. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

				J A Fidler, J Wardle, N Henning Brodersen, M J Jarvis, and R West Vulnerability to smoking after trying a single cigarette can lie dormant for three years or more Tob. Control, June 1, 2006; 15(3): 205 - 209. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

				B. Alamar and S. A. Glantz Tobacco Industry Profits From Smoking Images in the Movies Pediatrics, April 1, 2006; 117(4): 1462 - 1462. [Full Text] [PDF]

				J P Pierce, M M White, and E A Gilpin Adolescent smoking decline during California's tobacco control programme Tob. Control, June 1, 2005; 14(3): 207 - 212. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

				S. Ahmad The Cost-Effectiveness of Raising the Legal Smoking Age in California Med Decis Making, May 1, 2005; 25(3): 330 - 340. [Abstract] [PDF]

				S E Gilman, D B Abrams, and S L Buka Socioeconomic status over the life course and stages of cigarette use: initiation, regular use, and cessation J. Epidemiol. Community Health, October 1, 2003; 57(10): 802 - 808. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

				M R Crone, S A Reijneveld, M C Willemsen, F J M van Leerdam, R D Spruijt, and R A H. Sing Prevention of smoking in adolescents with lower education: a school based intervention study J. Epidemiol. Community Health, September 1, 2003; 57(9): 675 - 680. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

				R Mermelstein Teen smoking cessation Tob. Control, June 1, 2003; 12(90001): i25 - 34. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

				J. D. Sargent and J. R. DiFranza Tobacco Control for Clinicians Who Treat Adolescents CA Cancer J Clin, March 1, 2003; 53(2): 102 - 123. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

				W. S. Choi, J. S. Ahluwalia, and N. Nazir Adolescent Smoking Cessation: Implications for Relapse-Sensitive Interventions Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med, June 1, 2002; 156(6): 625 - 626. [Full Text] [PDF]

				R. E. Lee and C. Cubbin Neighborhood Context and Youth Cardiovascular Health Behaviors Am J Public Health, March 1, 2002; 92(3): 428 - 436. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

				A. Morabia, M. C. Costanza, M. S. Bernstein, and J.-C. Rielle Ages at Initiation of Cigarette Smoking and Quit Attempts Among Women: A Generation Effect Am J Public Health, January 1, 2002; 92(1): 71 - 74. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

				M. Paavola, E. Vartiainen, and P. Puska Smoking cessation between teenage years and adulthood Health Educ. Res., February 1, 2001; 16(1): 49 - 57. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

				R. J. Stein, C. K. Haddock, K. K. O'Byrne, N. Hymowitz, and J. Schwab The Pediatrician's Role in Reducing Tobacco Exposure in Children Pediatrics, November 1, 2000; 106(5): 66e - 66. [Abstract] [Full Text]

				E. Simantov, C. Schoen, and J. D. Klein Health-Compromising Behaviors: Why Do Adolescents Smoke or Drink?: Identifying Underlying Risk and Protective Factors Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med, October 1, 2000; 154(10): 1025 - 1033. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

				M. Seguire and K. Chalmers Addressing the costs of quitting' smoking: a health promotion issue for adolescent girls in Canada Health Promot. Int., September 1, 2000; 15(3): 227 - 235. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

				M. F Hovell, J. M Zakarian, D. R Wahlgren, G. E Matt, and K. M Emmons Reported measures of environmental tobacco smoke exposure: trials and tribulations Tob. Control, September 1, 2000; 9(90003): 22i - 28. [Abstract] [Full Text]

				M. P Bidell, M. J Furlong, D. M Dunn, and J. E Koegler Case study of attempts to enact self service tobacco display ordinances: a tale of three communities Tob. Control, March 1, 2000; 9(1): 71 - 77. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

				J. P Pierce, E. A Gilpin, and W. S Choi Sharing the blame: smoking experimentation and future smoking-attributable mortality due to Joe Camel and Marlboro advertising and promotions Tob. Control, March 1, 1999; 8(1): 37 - 44. [Abstract] [Full Text]

				L. A Robinson, R. C Klesges, and S. M Zbikowski Gender and ethnic differences in young adolescents' sources of cigarettes Tob. Control, December 1, 1998; 7(4): 353 - 359. [Abstract] [Full Text]

				S. L Tyas and L. L Pederson Psychosocial factors related to adolescent smoking: a critical review of the literature Tob. Control, December 1, 1998; 7(4): 409 - 420. [Abstract] [Full Text]

				T. A. WILLS, J. P. PIERCE, and R. I. EVANS Large-Scale Environmental Risk Factors for Substance Use American Behavioral Scientist, June 1, 1996; 39(7): 808 - 822. [Abstract]