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The social and economic correlates of pregnancy resolution among adolescents in New York City, by race and ethnicity: a multivariate analysis.

T Joyce

National Bureau of Economic Research, New York, NY 10033.

This study utilizes a data set combining vital records from live birth and induced abortion certificates in New York City in 1984 to examine the correlates of the two outcomes among pregnant adolescents. Four groups totaling 31,207 teenagers were examined: Black non-Latinos (51 per cent), White non-Latinos (17 per cent), Puerto Ricans (25 per cent), and non-Puerto Rican Latinos (8 per cent). Multivariate regressions were fit for each group. Simulations based on the regressions reveal that the proportion of live births plus induced abortions among unmarried 18-year-olds, on Medicaid, with a previous live birth, no previous induced abortions, and nine years of completed schooling was .55 in the case of Puerto Ricans, .34 for non-Puerto Rican Latinos, .60 for Blacks, and .51 for Whites. For nulliparous adolescents of the same age and marital status, with an additional year of schooling, but not on Medicaid, and with a previous induced abortion, the fraction of pregnancies that were terminated rose to .84 in the case of Puerto Ricans, .81 for non-Puerto Rican Latinos, .87 for Blacks, and .96 for Whites. The results suggest that attitudes toward abortion as proxied by previous induced terminations substantially increase the likelihood of aborting as well as narrow the racial and ethnic differences with respect to pregnancy resolution.

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