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FIGURE 1—— Incidence of tuberculosis (TB), AIDS, and homicide in New York City (NYC) from 1970 to 2002, and relative timing of the New York City’s financial crisis and federal budget cuts (box).

Note. Data for TB obtained from NYC Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, Bureau of Tuberculosis Control.³³ Data for AIDS obtained from HIV Epidemiology Program, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene.³⁴ Data for homicide obtained from Langan and Durose.³⁵

Data for TB, AIDS, and homicide were scaled by 1985 (median year of interval of interest) incidence rate for ease of comparison. Therefore, the y-axis represents the incidence rate for a given year compared with the 1985 incidence rate; a y-axis measure of more than 1 suggests incidence higher than 1985, and a measure of less than 1 suggests lower incidence than 1985.